As the last few weeks to the midterm campaign season come to a close there is even more on the line than there was before. Seems that the Democratic Party has awoken from its nap to find nothing but utter ciaos and trouble. It is easy to see that the Democrats have pushed their help button and they are trying to make up lost ground, which they never thought was lost in the first place. This can be seen in a push of new marketing and call for support, and also in new disputes over numbers. While the Democrats were napping, the Republicans came to the realization that the movement that put the Democrats in charge are not going to show up in November, which dramatically leveled the playing fields.
On October 6th Connecticut’s fifth went from being predicted as ‘likely Democrat’ to ‘toss up’ over night, according to RealClearPolitics.com (link), and also CNN.com by placing the CT-5th as a ‘race to watch’ (link). The Democratic Party has noticed that not only Murphy, but also other Democratic candidates have started to slip in the polls. The only way that I see that the Democrats can fix this is to start spending their candidates massive amounts of cash on hand, and try to drown less funded Republican hopefuls and changers. Murphy’s team has made sure that both of his commercial ads are being seen on TV, and also Murphy has increased his print ads, not only those funded by him but now there are ones paid by the Connecticut Democratic State Central Committee (link). The problem is that numbers don’t lie, and according to CTCapitalRport.com (link), new poll results show that in CT-5 Caligiuri is leading 49.7% to Murphys 44.3% (poll data). This data came out the day before both RealClearPolitics.com and CNN.com changed their minds on the possible outcome to the race in CT-5.
Murphy’s campaign does not think the poll is a reliable source, even though the rest of the country does, which seems a bit desperate for his campaign, what seems even more desperate is that Murphy’s website as October 7th has been going with a story that Murphy is leading by 14 full points (link). Though this would be good for the Democrats, it is hard to believe. Caligiuri has been gaining name recognition even in Murphy’s hometown of Cheshire where Caligiuri has several huge signs larger than any of those Murphy has out. With time running out this is the perfect chance for Murphy to kill Caligiuri’s campaign, or the perfect time for Caligiuri to make a fool of Murphy.
Although Murphy is now lagging behind in the polls I do not believe it will be like that for long even though elections are only a few weeks way. The reason being is simple, Connecticut is Democratic and I don't see that changing any time soon. As long as Murphy puts a little more effort in campaigning and shows he actual cares about the people then he should see victory. For example, in the third district of Connecticut. I don't Democratic Rosa DeLauro has really done much campaigning compared to her opponent Republican Jerry Labriola but I am confident that she will still see victory not matter what Labriola does the people know her, and she's a democrat. So far I think that is all she needs to see victory.
ReplyDeleteI think the point of the post was to show that maybe just having the title of "Democrat" isn't enough to win an election any more, even in a typically democratic state. Both candidates need to put in face-time with the people of the 5th district to come out on top.
ReplyDeleteI agree, that being a democratic candidate in this years elections are extremely tough even in democratic states or districts. Everyone is quick to blame the democratic party for problems we inherited from previous republican presidents.
ReplyDeleteWhile I agree with Tiffany that the fact that Connecticut is Democratic and has been for years plays a role, I do think that just being a "Democrat" candidate in Connecticut is enough to seal a victory. So therefore I also agree with K.B.'s viewpoint and thing putting in "face-time" with the people also plays a role to who wins the seat for the district.
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